TBL
4–3
NJD
Final / OT · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 21-17-5
4–3
Final / OTW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 21-15-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
26190411420
NJD
1101101802330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 21-17-5 · NJD 21-15-3 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Devils
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.7 expected goals); the Lightning won it in overtime on Raddysh's goal. Vitek Vanecek allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 20 and 30 shots on goal.
TBL 2.5 xG · 20 shots
NJD 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 07:42 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Luke Glendening · 1st 12:35 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Luke Glendening · 1st 18:22 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 10:34 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 16:54 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Nathan Bastian · 3rd 03:53 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Darren Raddysh · OT 01:52 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 46.
TBL 46%NJD 54%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 07:42 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Luke Glendening · 1st 12:35 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Luke Glendening · 1st 18:22 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 10:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Jesper Bratt · 2nd 16:54 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Nathan Bastian · 3rd 03:53 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Darren Raddysh · OT 01:52 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
7
Nikita Kucherov, Andrei Vasilevskiy · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
