TBL
5–1
ANA
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 22-17-5
5–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 14-27-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
011314216541
ANA
0111504120
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 22-17-5 · ANA 14-27-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Ducks
The Lightning earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 1.3, and a 5–1 win to show for it. The Lightning owned the 2nd period, 2.2 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 1.3, on 41 and 20 shots on goal.
TBL 4.4 xG · 41 shots
ANA 1.3 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
2.2 · 0.4
3rd
1.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Hedman · 2nd 05:09 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 10:56 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 13:20 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 14:47 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Calvin de Haan · 3rd 09:06 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:05 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 91.
TBL 91%ANA 9%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Hedman · 2nd 05:09 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 10:56 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
3
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 13:20 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 14:47 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Calvin de Haan · 3rd 09:06 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:05 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/41 saves · 5 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
