TBL
7–3
MIN
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 23-17-5
7–3
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 18-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
111314313738
MIN
111210012333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 23-17-5 · MIN 18-21-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Wild
The Lightning earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 3.0, and a 7–3 win to show for it. Filip Gustavsson allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 38 and 33 shots on goal.
TBL 4.3 xG · 38 shots
MIN 3.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
2.3 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 05:17 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 06:12 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 00:16 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Waltteri Merela · 2nd 03:20 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Marco Rossi · 2nd 10:52 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 12:41 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Jake Middleton · 2nd 19:45 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 01:09 · 5–3 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 06:59 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (51%)
10
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 17:52 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 69.
TBL 69%MIN 31%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 05:17 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Victor Hedman · 1st 06:12 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 00:16 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Waltteri Merela · 2nd 03:20 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Marco Rossi · 2nd 10:52 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Brayden Point · 2nd 12:41 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
7
Jake Middleton · 2nd 19:45 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 01:09 · PP · 5–3
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 06:59 · PP · 6–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (51%)
10
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 17:52 · 7–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/38 saves · 7 GA · 4.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
