TBL
6–3
NJD
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 27-18-5
6–3
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 24-20-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
09219414642
NJD
0604314324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 27-18-5 · NJD 24-20-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Devils
The Lightning earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 1.8, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.8, on 42 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 4.1 xG · 42 shots
NJD 1.8 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.2
3rd
2.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 2nd 01:09 · 1–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 10:40 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 02:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 03:49 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
5
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 07:19 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 13:52 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 17:22 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:21 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:06 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 82.
TBL 82%NJD 18%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 2nd 01:09 · 1–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 10:40 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 02:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 03:49 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
5
Jesper Bratt · 3rd 07:19 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 13:52 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 17:22 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
