TBL
6–3
COL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 30-20-5
6–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 33-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
21508416639
COL
11111119331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 30-20-5 · COL 33-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Avalanche
The Lightning earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, and a 6–3 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 39 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 3.4 xG · 39 shots
COL 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 17:18 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Bowen Byram · 2nd 15:03 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 03:40 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 04:00 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 08:13 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:28 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Nick Perbix · 3rd 19:34 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 59.
TBL 59%COL 41%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brayden Point · 1st 17:18 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:25 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Bowen Byram · 2nd 15:03 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 03:40 · PP · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 04:00 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 08:13 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:28 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Nick Perbix · 3rd 19:34 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Unassisted · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
