TBL
2–9
FLA
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 30-21-5
2–9
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 36-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1901615230
FLA
4142838930
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
TBL 30-21-5 · FLA 36-15-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
Lightning fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.8 expected goals); the Lightning lost 2–9. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 4.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 30 shots on goal.
TBL 2.7 xG · 30 shots
FLA 2.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
1.2 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 00:24 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brandon Montour · 1st 07:01 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Sam Bennett · 1st 12:28 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 17:44 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Gustav Forsling · 1st 18:38 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 00:23 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 01:37 · 1–6 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 01:05 · 1–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Sam Bennett · 3rd 01:56 · 1–8 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
10
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 04:09 · 1–9 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
11
Brayden Point · 3rd 10:51 · 2–9 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 47.
TBL 47%FLA 53%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 00:24 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brandon Montour · 1st 07:01 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Sam Bennett · 1st 12:28 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 17:44 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Gustav Forsling · 1st 18:38 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 00:23 · PP · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 01:37 · PP · 1–6
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 01:05 · 1–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Sam Bennett · 3rd 01:56 · PP · 1–8
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
10
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 04:09 · 1–9
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
11
Brayden Point · 3rd 10:51 · PP · 2–9
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
6
Aleksander Barkov, Brandon Montour · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–5
3rd period
11
Nikita Kucherov, Victor Hedman · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–9
No penalties
Goaltending
16/22 saves · 6 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 4.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
5/8 saves · 3 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
