TBL
2–4
OTT
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 30-22-5
2–4
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 23-27-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0718110225
OTT
2111918428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–2
TBL 30-22-5 · OTT 23-27-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–2
Lightning fell to the Senators
The Lightning created the better chances (2.8 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 25 and 28 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 25 shots
OTT 2.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 10:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 13:35 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 15:49 · 0–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
4
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 16:55 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 04:01 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 04:36 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 63.
TBL 63%OTT 37%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tim Stützle · 1st 10:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 13:35 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mathieu Joseph · 2nd 15:49 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
4
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 16:55 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 04:01 · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Brayden Point · 3rd 04:36 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Brady Tkachuk, Shane Pinto · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–4
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
