TBL
4–3
MTL
Final / SO · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 33-24-6
4–3
Final / SOW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 23-28-10
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TBL
04213111011429
MTL
21106113010331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
TBL 33-24-6 · MTL 23-28-10 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
Lightning beat the Canadiens
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Lightning erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — 's equalizer — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 29 shots
MTL 2.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Armia · 1st 01:27 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Jake Evans · 1st 14:34 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:44 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 15:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Josh Anderson · 3rd 06:23 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
· 3rd 10:18 · 3–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 54.
TBL 54%MTL 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Armia · 1st 01:27 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Jake Evans · 1st 14:34 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:44 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 15:49 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Josh Anderson · 3rd 06:23 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
· 3rd 10:18 · SH · 3–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Lightning
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
