TBL
3–6
CGY
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 33-25-6
3–6
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 31-26-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1616110322
CGY
173829624
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
TBL 33-25-6 · CGY 31-26-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
Lightning fell to the Flames
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.2 expected goals); the Lightning lost 3–6. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 22 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 2.1 xG · 22 shots
CGY 2.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dryden Hunt · 1st 11:40 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Conor Sheary · 1st 14:28 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 08:34 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
· 2nd 09:25 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 12:29 · 2–4 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 06:04 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 12:17 · 2–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 14:35 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 47.
TBL 47%CGY 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dryden Hunt · 1st 11:40 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Conor Sheary · 1st 14:28 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 06:11 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 08:34 · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
· 2nd 09:25 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 12:29 · 2–4
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 06:04 · 2–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 12:17 · EN · 2–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 14:35 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Jonathan Huberdeau, MacKenzie Weegar · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
