Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 40-25-7
3–1
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 42-17-15
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11219110331
BOS
1100707124
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–1
TBL 40-25-7 · BOS 42-17-15 · Meeting 4 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–1
Lightning beat the Bruins
The Lightning earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, and a 3–1 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 31 shots
BOS 1.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 10:06 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Danton Heinen · 1st 17:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 06:50 · 2–1 · wrap around shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:33 · 3–1 · wrap around shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 70.
TBL 70%BOS 30%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 10:06 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Danton Heinen · 1st 17:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Brayden Point · 2nd 06:50 · GWG · 2–1
Wrap around shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:33 · EN · 3–1
Wrap around shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.