TBL
4–1
NYI
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 41-25-7
4–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 31-27-15
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
22108211440
NYI
1601507128
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
TBL 41-25-7 · NYI 31-27-15 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
Lightning beat the Islanders
The Lightning earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 40 and 28 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 40 shots
NYI 2.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
2nd
0.4 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 02:25 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 14:25 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 15:00 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:21 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 17:14 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 63.
TBL 63%NYI 37%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 02:25 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Darren Raddysh · 1st 14:25 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 15:00 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:21 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 17:14 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
