TBL
2–4
DET
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 41-26-7
2–4
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 37-30-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
016110110236
DET
01219311432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–3
TBL 41-26-7 · DET 37-30-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–3
Lightning fell to the Red Wings
The Lightning created the better chances (3.3 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Perron's winner came with 2:40 left. Alex Lyon stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 36 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 3.3 xG · 36 shots
DET 2.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Patrick Kane · 2nd 00:37 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 08:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 03:40 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:59 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
David Perron · 3rd 17:20 · 2–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:57 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 62.
TBL 62%DET 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Patrick Kane · 2nd 00:37 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 08:36 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 03:40 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:59 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
David Perron · 3rd 17:20 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 18:57 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
