TBL
5–2
CBJ
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 44-27-7
5–2
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 26-41-12
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
110111312533
CBJ
19111012232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
TBL 44-27-7 · CBJ 26-41-12 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
Lightning beat the Blue Jackets
The Lightning earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Jet Greaves allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 33 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 33 shots
CBJ 2.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 16:31 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 19:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 07:13 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 14:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 05:40 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:56 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:57 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 60.
TBL 60%CBJ 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blue Jackets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 16:31 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 19:17 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 07:13 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 14:17 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 05:40 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
6
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 05:56 · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:57 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
