TBL
2–3
OTT
Final / SO · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 44-27-8
2–3
Final / SOL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 35-40-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TBL
290805040226
OTT
1408112031327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–3
TBL 44-27-8 · OTT 35-40-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–3
Lightning fell to the Senators
Chances were even (4.0 to 3.9 expected goals); the Lightning lost it in a shootout. Anton Forsberg stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.0 expected goals to 3.9, on 26 and 27 shots on goal.
TBL 4.0 xG · 26 shots
OTT 3.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd
2.3 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 2.1
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 08:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Conor Sheary · 1st 09:45 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 12:56 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 3rd 02:11 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 51.
TBL 51%OTT 49%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 08:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Conor Sheary · 1st 09:45 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 12:56 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Drake Batherson · 3rd 02:11 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
4
Brady Tkachuk, Thomas Chabot · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–2
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Senators
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
