TBL
3–5
FLA
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 0-3
3–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
01021217329
FLA
11129211531
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Lightning trail the series 0–3
TBL 0-3 · FLA 3-0 · Game 3 — the Lightning trail the series 0–3
Lightning fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.0 expected goals); the Lightning lost 3–5. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 2.0 xG · 29 shots
FLA 2.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 10:39 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 00:44 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
3
· 2nd 02:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 09:58 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Montour · 2nd 16:30 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 09:41 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 14:50 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:28 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 51.
TBL 51%FLA 49%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 10:39 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 00:44 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
3
· 2nd 02:56 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 09:58 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Montour · 2nd 16:30 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 09:41 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 14:50 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 19:28 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Vladimir Tarasenko, Brandon Montour · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
