TBL
3–2
CAR
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 21-15-2
3–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 24-15-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11111319333
CAR
0911517231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 21-15-2 · CAR 24-15-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Hurricanes
The Lightning earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.6, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Point's winner came with 0:52 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.6, on 33 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 3.3 xG · 33 shots
CAR 1.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 16:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 06:31 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nick Paul · 2nd 09:17 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 09:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:08 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 78.
TBL 78%CAR 22%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Hagel · 1st 16:38 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 06:31 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Nick Paul · 2nd 09:17 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Staal · 3rd 09:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 19:08 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
