TBL
4–1
VAN
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 2-0-0
4–1
FinalW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 0-1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11215210427
VAN
0709111127
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 2-0-0 · VAN 0-1-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Canucks
Chances were even (3.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Lightning won 4–1. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 27 and 27 shots on goal.
TBL 3.4 xG · 27 shots
VAN 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
2nd
0.4 · 1.2
3rd
1.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 03:55 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:43 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 00:39 · 3–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Conor Garland · 3rd 04:14 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (46%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:14 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 57.
TBL 57%VAN 43%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 03:55 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 07:43 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 00:39 · 3–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Conor Garland · 3rd 04:14 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (46%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 18:14 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
