TBL
2–4
MIN
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 4-3-0
2–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-0-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0122905226
MIN
151825418
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 4-3-0 · MIN 5-0-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Wild
Chances were even (1.5 to 1.5 expected goals); the Lightning lost 2–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 26 and 18 shots on goal.
TBL 1.5 xG · 26 shots
MIN 1.5 xG · 18 shots
0
1
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
0.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 06:23 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 08:55 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 11:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 18:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 00:54 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 19:26 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 49.
TBL 49%MIN 51%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 06:23 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 08:55 · SH · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 11:31 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 18:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 00:54 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 19:26 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
