TBL
3–0
WSH
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 5-3-0
3–0
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 5-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
071826321
WSH
0801707032
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 5-3-0 · WSH 5-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Capitals
Chances were even (1.8 to 2.3 expected goals); the Lightning won 3–0. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 21 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 1.8 xG · 21 shots
WSH 2.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 05:27 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 3rd 02:26 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Conor Geekie · 3rd 03:10 · 3–0 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 41.
TBL 41%WSH 59%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 05:27 · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 3rd 02:26 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Conor Geekie · 3rd 03:10 · 3–0
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/32 saves · 0 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
