Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-3-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 3-5-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
2110401012327
NSH
0921401400237
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 6-3-0 · NSH 3-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Predators
The Lightning earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.8, and they won it in overtime on Paul's goal. Juuse Saros stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 27 and 37 shots on goal.
TBL 4.1 xG · 27 shots
NSH 2.8 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
2nd
0.4 · 1.4
3rd
1.7 · 0.7
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 09:49 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 19:24 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:19 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 18:40 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nick Paul · OT 03:22 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 68.
TBL 68%NSH 32%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 09:49 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 19:24 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 10:19 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 2nd 18:40 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nick Paul · OT 03:22 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.