Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 7-6-1
1–2
Final / SOL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 5-8-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TBL
1701004020123
PHI
0701318031231
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 7-6-1 · PHI 5-8-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Flyers
The Lightning created the better chances (2.8 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. Ivan Fedotov stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 23 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 23 shots
PHI 2.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.0 · 0.2
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
OT
0.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:15 · 1–0 · wrap around shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Owen Tippett · 3rd 15:44 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 64.
TBL 64%PHI 36%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:15 · 1–0
Wrap around shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Owen Tippett · 3rd 15:44 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flyers
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.