TBL
2–4
DAL
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 10-7-2
2–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 13-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
2130808229
DAL
2100929428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 10-7-2 · DAL 13-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Lightning lost 2–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
TBL 2.8 xG · 29 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 04:09 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 06:05 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 08:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 15:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Matt Duchene · 3rd 06:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 07:53 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 54.
TBL 54%DAL 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 04:09 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 06:05 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 08:34 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
4
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 15:49 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Matt Duchene · 3rd 06:55 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 07:53 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
