TBL
8–2
COL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 11-7-2
8–2
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 12-10-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
512111210833
COL
1704114225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 11-7-2 · COL 12-10-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Avalanche
The Lightning earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 2.6, and a 8–2 win to show for it. Justus Annunen allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
TBL 4.4 xG · 33 shots
COL 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
1.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Perbix · 1st 05:41 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 07:46 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
· 1st 08:56 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 10:03 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Luke Glendening · 1st 13:15 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
6
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 19:46 · 5–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Brayden Point · 2nd 09:38 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
· 3rd 01:08 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 03:09 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
10
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 04:44 · 8–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 75.
TBL 75%COL 25%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Perbix · 1st 05:41 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Jake Guentzel · 1st 07:46 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
· 1st 08:56 · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 10:03 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Luke Glendening · 1st 13:15 · SH · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
6
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 19:46 · 5–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Brayden Point · 2nd 09:38 · PP · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
8
· 3rd 01:08 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 03:09 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
10
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 04:44 · 8–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
