Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 11-8-2
4–5
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 15-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
2819111428
WSH
09210313532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 11-8-2 · WSH 15-6-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning fell to the Capitals
The Lightning let a 2–0 lead get away: the Capitals came back with five unanswered goals — Carlson's equalizer — and won 4–5. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 28 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 2.2 xG · 28 shots
WSH 2.1 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 03:58 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 1st 12:27 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 10:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 12:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 19:16 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Strome · 3rd 01:37 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 07:25 · 4–3
8
John Carlson · 3rd 10:30 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Tom Wilson · 3rd 16:34 · 4–5 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 53.
TBL 53%WSH 47%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 03:58 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brayden Point · 1st 12:27 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 10:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 12:29 · SH · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 19:16 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Strome · 3rd 01:37 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Brayden Point · 3rd 07:25 · 4–3
8
John Carlson · 3rd 10:30 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Tom Wilson · 3rd 16:34 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.