TBL
3–5
TOR
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 12-9-2
3–5
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 14-7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
010013318341
TOR
1731517529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
TBL 12-9-2 · TOR 14-7-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–2
Lightning fell to the Maple Leafs
The Lightning created the better chances (3.8 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 41 and 29 shots on goal.
TBL 3.8 xG · 41 shots
TOR 1.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 07:13 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Chris Tanev · 2nd 08:06 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 2nd 08:39 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 18:59 · 0–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 11:21 · 1–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 15:19 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 17:38 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
8
William Nylander · 3rd 18:44 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 78.
TBL 78%TOR 22%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 07:13 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Chris Tanev · 2nd 08:06 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 2nd 08:39 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 18:59 · GWG · 0–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Michael Eyssimont · 3rd 11:21 · 1–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 15:19 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Cam Atkinson · 3rd 17:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
8
William Nylander · 3rd 18:44 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
