Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 17-10-2
5–3
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 12-15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11131517533
CBJ
05010317332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 17-10-2 · CBJ 12-15-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Blue Jackets
The Lightning earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–3 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 3.3 xG · 33 shots
CBJ 2.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Luke Glendening · 1st 03:21 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 01:28 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 07:36 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 14:18 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Mikael Pyyhtia · 3rd 07:23 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 08:05 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Cole Sillinger · 3rd 14:11 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Brayden Point · 3rd 17:51 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 61.
TBL 61%CBJ 39%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Luke Glendening · 1st 03:21 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 2nd 01:28 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 07:36 · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 14:18 · PP · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Mikael Pyyhtia · 3rd 07:23 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 08:05 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Cole Sillinger · 3rd 14:11 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Brayden Point · 3rd 17:51 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.