TBL
3–1
STL
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 18-10-2
3–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 15-16-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
172803318
STL
010112010132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 18-10-2 · STL 15-16-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.2 expected goals); the Lightning won 3–1. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.2, on 18 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 2.5 xG · 18 shots
STL 2.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 05:14 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Nick Perbix · 2nd 03:42 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 12:15 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 13:33 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 57.
TBL 57%STL 43%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 05:14 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Nick Perbix · 2nd 03:42 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 12:15 · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 13:33 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/11 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
