TBL
2–4
FLA
Final · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 18-11-2
2–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 22-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1100318221
FLA
1102917426
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 18-11-2 · FLA 22-11-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (1.8 to 1.7 expected goals); the Lightning lost 2–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 21 and 26 shots on goal.
TBL 1.8 xG · 21 shots
FLA 1.7 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.3 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 15:51 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 1st 19:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
A.J. Greer · 2nd 10:28 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 11:10 · 1–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 03:26 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:29 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 52.
TBL 52%FLA 48%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Reinhart · 1st 15:51 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Nick Paul · 1st 19:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
A.J. Greer · 2nd 10:28 · SH · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Eetu Luostarinen · 2nd 11:10 · SH · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 03:26 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 19:29 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Unassisted · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
