Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 20-12-2
2–5
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 16-17-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0102805223
MTL
19214214537
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 20-12-2 · MTL 16-17-3 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Canadiens
The Lightning were outchanced (3.2 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 2–5.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
TBL 2.7 xG · 23 shots
MTL 3.2 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 12:07 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 00:37 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 12:34 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Evans · 2nd 18:28 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 18:54 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Joel Armia · 3rd 12:32 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 18:08 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 42.
TBL 42%MTL 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 12:07 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 00:37 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Christian Dvorak · 2nd 12:34 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jake Evans · 2nd 18:28 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 18:54 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Joel Armia · 3rd 12:32 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 18:08 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.