TBL
4–3
ANA
Final / SO · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 24-16-3
4–3
Final / SOW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 18-21-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
TBL
112212010011435
ANA
111111113020337
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 24-16-3 · ANA 18-21-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Ducks
The Lightning earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 2.0, and they won it in a shootout. Lukas Dostal stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.0, on 35 and 37 shots on goal.
TBL 4.6 xG · 35 shots
ANA 2.0 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.6 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.4
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Troy Terry · 1st 06:03 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 14:19 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 02:51 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
4
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 11:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 15:26 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 09:53 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 84.
TBL 84%ANA 16%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Troy Terry · 1st 06:03 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 14:19 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 02:51 · PP · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (59%)
4
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 11:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 15:26 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Robby Fabbri · 3rd 09:53 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Lightning
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
