TBL
5–1
DET
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 25-16-3
5–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 21-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
1641006522
DET
014112013139
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 25-16-3 · DET 21-20-4 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.5 expected goals); the Lightning won 5–1. Cam Talbot allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.5, on 22 and 39 shots on goal.
TBL 3.0 xG · 22 shots
DET 2.5 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 02:02 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 00:16 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:50 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 03:58 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:12 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 15:06 · 5–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 58.
TBL 58%DET 42%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 02:02 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 00:16 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 01:50 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Mitchell Chaffee · 2nd 03:58 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 14:12 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 15:06 · PP · 5–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
