TBL
2–3
NYI
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 27-20-4
2–3
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 24-20-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
0121101900231
NYI
0131171511336
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 27-20-4 · NYI 24-20-7 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Islanders
The Lightning created the better chances (3.5 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on DeAngelo's goal. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 36 shots on goal.
TBL 3.5 xG · 31 shots
NYI 2.6 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.8 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.4
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 05:39 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Adam Boqvist · 2nd 18:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 06:41 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:13 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Tony DeAngelo · OT 00:33 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 65.
TBL 65%NYI 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 05:39 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Adam Boqvist · 2nd 18:16 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 06:41 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Tony DeAngelo · OT 00:33 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
