TBL
4–1
SEA
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 32-20-4
4–1
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 25-30-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0711037424
SEA
01101818137
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 32-20-4 · SEA 25-30-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Kraken
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.1 expected goals); the Lightning won 4–1. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 24 and 37 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 24 shots
SEA 3.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 1.5
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 09:27 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 11:15 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Luke Glendening · 3rd 12:58 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Shane Wright · 3rd 15:24 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Paul · 3rd 18:14 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 50.
TBL 50%SEA 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Kraken shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 09:27 · SH · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 11:15 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Luke Glendening · 3rd 12:58 · 3–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Shane Wright · 3rd 15:24 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Nick Paul · 3rd 18:14 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/37 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
