TBL
4–1
EDM
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 33-20-4
4–1
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 34-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11421418436
EDM
1901005124
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 33-20-4 · EDM 34-20-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Oilers
The Lightning earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Lightning owned the 2nd period, 1.7 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, on 36 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 36 shots
EDM 1.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 11:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 13:11 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 00:29 · 2–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Victor Hedman · 2nd 05:38 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nick Paul · 3rd 07:23 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 75.
TBL 75%EDM 25%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leon Draisaitl · 1st 11:53 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Michael Eyssimont · 1st 13:11 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 00:29 · GWG · 2–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Victor Hedman · 2nd 05:38 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nick Paul · 3rd 07:23 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Zemgus Girgensons, Anthony Cirelli · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
