TBL
3–0
CGY
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 34-20-4
3–0
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 28-22-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
170827322
CGY
07010011028
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
TBL 34-20-4 · CGY 28-22-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–0
Lightning beat the Flames
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.1 expected goals); the Lightning won 3–0. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 22 and 28 shots on goal.
TBL 1.9 xG · 22 shots
CGY 2.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Erik Cernak · 3rd 03:51 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:10 · 3–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 47.
TBL 47%CGY 53%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:15 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Erik Cernak · 3rd 03:51 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 17:10 · EN · 3–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/28 saves · 0 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
