TBL
6–2
CBJ
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 36-21-4
6–2
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 30-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
210218212640
CBJ
1918016233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
TBL 36-21-4 · CBJ 30-23-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 2–1
Lightning beat the Blue Jackets
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.8 expected goals); the Lightning won 6–2. Elvis Merzlikins allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 40 and 33 shots on goal.
TBL 3.1 xG · 40 shots
CBJ 2.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 00:30 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:37 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Zach Werenski · 1st 17:20 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 01:27 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Victor Hedman · 2nd 06:36 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Zach Werenski · 2nd 10:49 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Victor Hedman · 3rd 09:44 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:53 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 54.
TBL 54%CBJ 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Blue Jackets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitchell Chaffee · 1st 00:30 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:37 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Zach Werenski · 1st 17:20 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 01:27 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Victor Hedman · 2nd 06:36 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Zach Werenski · 2nd 10:49 · SH · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Victor Hedman · 3rd 09:44 · PP · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 17:53 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/39 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
