Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-22-4
0–4
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 29-28-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0606013025
BOS
0518312425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–2
TBL 37-22-4 · BOS 29-28-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning trail the season series 1–2
Lightning fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.2 expected goals); the Lightning lost 0–4. Jeremy Swayman stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.2, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
TBL 2.3 xG · 25 shots
BOS 2.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
0.3 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Koepke · 2nd 10:32 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 13:16 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Zadorov · 3rd 14:52 · 0–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Cole Koepke · 3rd 15:53 · 0–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 53.
TBL 53%BOS 47%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Koepke · 2nd 10:32 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Mark Kastelic · 3rd 13:16 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Zadorov · 3rd 14:52 · EN · 0–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Cole Koepke · 3rd 15:53 · 0–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/25 saves · 0 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.