TBL
6–1
PIT
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 41-25-5
6–1
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 29-33-11
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
41121006627
PIT
040417115
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
TBL 41-25-5 · PIT 29-33-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Lightning lead the season series 3–0
Lightning beat the Penguins
The Lightning earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.0, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.0, on 27 and 15 shots on goal.
TBL 3.2 xG · 27 shots
PIT 1.0 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
2nd
0.8 · 0.2
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 12:13 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Ryan McDonagh · 1st 13:30 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 15:12 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brayden Point · 1st 16:00 · 4–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 15:31 · 5–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 19:19 · 6–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 14:15 · 6–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 86.
TBL 86%PIT 14%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 12:13 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Ryan McDonagh · 1st 13:30 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 15:12 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brayden Point · 1st 16:00 · 4–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 15:31 · PP · 5–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 2nd 19:19 · 6–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 14:15 · 6–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
5
Darren Raddysh, Oliver Bjorkstrand · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 1.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
