TBL
5–3
NYI
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 43-25-5
5–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 32-30-10
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
3711116524
NYI
012015311338
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 43-25-5 · NYI 32-30-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Islanders
The Lightning were outchanced (4.7 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Jonas Johansson stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 38 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 2.6 xG · 24 shots
NYI 4.7 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.2
3rd
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 02:02 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nick Perbix · 1st 07:31 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 17:57 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 19:43 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 05:58 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Marc Gatcomb · 3rd 07:47 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tony DeAngelo · 3rd 08:47 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:46 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 22.
TBL 22%NYI 78%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 02:02 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nick Perbix · 1st 07:31 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brayden Point · 1st 17:57 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brayden Point · 2nd 19:43 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Ryan Pulock · 3rd 05:58 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Marc Gatcomb · 3rd 07:47 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tony DeAngelo · 3rd 08:47 · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
8
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:46 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
