TBL
3–4
DET
Final / OT · L
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 45-26-8
3–4
Final / OTL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 37-35-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TBL
19181400321
DET
092511012426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
TBL 45-26-8 · DET 37-35-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Lightning fell to the Red Wings
The Lightning were outchanced (3.0 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Kasper's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 26 and 21 shots on goal.
TBL 2.3 xG · 21 shots
DET 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 01:01 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Patrick Kane · 2nd 04:07 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
· 2nd 16:37 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 17:52 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 01:38 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Marco Kasper · 3rd 12:59 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Marco Kasper · OT 03:22 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 39.
TBL 39%DET 61%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 1st 01:01 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Patrick Kane · 2nd 04:07 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
· 2nd 16:37 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 17:52 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 01:38 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Marco Kasper · 3rd 12:59 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Marco Kasper · OT 03:22 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Unassisted · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
