Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 47-26-8
5–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 47-31-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
38110113531
FLA
0711007124
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
TBL 47-26-8 · FLA 47-31-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Lightning beat the Panthers
The Lightning earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 1.7, and a 5–1 win to show for it. The Lightning owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
TBL 4.2 xG · 31 shots
FLA 1.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
3rd
1.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:32 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Conor Geekie · 1st 15:25 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 1st 18:09 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 04:42 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Brad Marchand · 2nd 05:36 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Darren Raddysh · 3rd 11:22 · 5–1 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 85.
TBL 85%FLA 15%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 01:32 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Conor Geekie · 1st 15:25 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 1st 18:09 · SH · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 04:42 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Brad Marchand · 2nd 05:36 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Darren Raddysh · 3rd 11:22 · PP · 5–1
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 4.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.