TBL
4–3
ANA
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 2-4-2
4–3
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 4-3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
11229112433
ANA
015114211340
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 2-4-2 · ANA 4-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Ducks
The Lightning earned it: 5.1 expected goals to 2.6, and a 4–3 win to show for it. Lukas Dostal stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 5.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 40 shots on goal.
TBL 5.1 xG · 33 shots
ANA 2.6 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.1
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
2.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 09:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 04:42 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 12:19 · 2–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 14:20 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 07:11 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 08:10 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 16:45 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 81.
TBL 81%ANA 19%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 12 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 09:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 04:42 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 12:19 · 2–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 14:20 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 07:11 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Troy Terry · 3rd 08:10 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 16:45 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:13
Erik Cernak· Tripping
Erik Cernak· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:13
Leo Carlsson· Tripping
Leo Carlsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:45
Pontus Holmberg· Tripping
Pontus Holmberg· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:19
Mason McTavish· Interference
Mason McTavish· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:58
Ross Johnston· Tripping
Ross Johnston· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:58
Emil Lilleberg· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Emil Lilleberg· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
15:58
Ross Johnston· Fighting
Ross Johnston· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
15:58
Emil Lilleberg· Fighting
Emil Lilleberg· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
3
Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:18
Sam Colangelo· Interference
Sam Colangelo· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:16
Olen Zellweger· Hooking
Olen Zellweger· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:47
Cutter Gauthier· Hooking
Cutter Gauthier· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:42
Ross Johnston· Tripping
Ross Johnston· Tripping
Cirelli scored on this power play
Minor
7
Nikita Kucherov, Victor Hedman · Power play (Johnston, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4–3
Goaltending
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 5.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Lightning went 1-for-6 on the power play and killed all 2 Ducks power plays.