TBL 2–1 DAL Final / OT · W
Lightning/Schedule/Recap Thu, Oct 30, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 5-4-2
2–1
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 6-3-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT TBL 0111110813233 DAL 060411001121 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 5-4-2 · DAL 6-3-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0

Lightning beat the Stars

The Lightning earned it: 4.7 expected goals to 2.6, and they won it in overtime on Cirelli's goal. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Lightning created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 21 shots on goal.

TBL 4.7 xG · 33 shots DAL 2.6 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing 1.7 · 0.6
2nd 1.2 · 0.6
3rd 1.1 · 1.1
OT 0.7 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 78.
TBL 78%DAL 22%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 7 penalties
← Lightning shoot this way Stars shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
PEN
06:34 Adam Erne· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:19 Alexander Petrovic· Tripping
Hagel scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
1
15:02 Brandon Hagel PP
Gage Goncalves, Charle-Edouard D'Astous · Power play (Petrovic, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1–0
PEN
17:36 Yanni Gourde· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
2
02:03 Adam Erne
Alexander Petrovic, Radek Faksa · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
04:53 Kyle Capobianco· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
09:15 Dominic James· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
10:14 Erik Cernak· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
12:17 Wyatt Johnston· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
Overtime
3
02:36 Anthony Cirelli GWG
Unassisted · backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
2–1
Goaltending
+1.6
vs expected
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+2.7
vs expected
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 4.7 xGA Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team TBLDAL
Shots on goal
33
21
Expected goals
4.7
2.6
Hits
21
30
Blocks
12
15
Faceoffs
43%
57%
Power play
1/4
0/3
Penalty minutes
6
8
The Lightning went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 3 Stars power plays.