TBL 3–2 WSH Final · W
Lightning/Schedule/Recap Sat, Nov 8, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 8-5-2
3–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 7-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT TBL 280814320 WSH 11311008231 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 8-5-2 · WSH 7-7-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1

Lightning beat the Capitals

The Lightning were outchanced (2.4 to 1.8 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Capitals created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.8, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.

TBL 1.8 xG · 20 shots WSH 2.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st 0.8 · 0.9
2nd 0.6 · 0.8
3rd 0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 40.
TBL 40%WSH 60%

Goals and penalties

5 goals · 10 penalties
← Lightning shoot this way Capitals shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
04:06 Brandon Duhaime
Ethen Frank, Nic Dowd · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
2
06:07 Emil Lilleberg
Jake Guentzel, Charle-Edouard D'Astous · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1–1
PEN
11:07 Emil Lilleberg· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:59 Aliaksei Protas· High-sticking
Guentzel scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
3
15:09 Jake Guentzel PP
Victor Hedman, Brandon Hagel · Power play (Protas, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2–1
2nd period
PEN
16:49 Ryan Leonard· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:49 Jack Finley· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
4
17:08 John Carlson
Unassisted
2–2
3rd period
5
08:42 Brandon Hagel GWG
Dominic James, Charle-Edouard D'Astous · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3–2
PEN
16:12 Victor Hedman· Slashing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:12 Tom Wilson· Cross-checking
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:22 John Carlson· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
19:44 Tom Wilson· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
20:00 Jakob Chychrun· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
20:00 Erik Cernak· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
Goaltending
+1.4
vs expected
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
−1.2
vs expected
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Team TBLWSH
Shots on goal
20
30
Expected goals
1.8
2.4
Hits
20
19
Blocks
14
11
Faceoffs
44%
56%
Power play
1/2
0/1
Penalty minutes
11
23
The Lightning went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Capitals power play.