Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 8-6-2
3–7
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 9-7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
310012014336
NYR
481528721
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 8-6-2 · NYR 9-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Rangers
The Lightning created the better chances (4.9 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost 3–7. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 36 and 21 shots on goal.
TBL 4.9 xG · 36 shots
NYR 2.4 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.3
3rd · the swing
2.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Will Cuylle · 1st 01:09 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
J.T. Miller · 1st 03:31 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Scott Sabourin · 1st 06:04 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 07:08 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 13:59 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Will Borgen · 1st 16:20 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Jake Guentzel · 1st 17:32 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 18:19 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 05:03 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Will Cuylle · 3rd 17:49 · 3–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 82.
TBL 82%NYR 18%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Will Cuylle · 1st 01:09 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
J.T. Miller · 1st 03:31 · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Scott Sabourin · 1st 06:04 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 1st 07:08 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 13:59 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Will Borgen · 1st 16:20 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Jake Guentzel · 1st 17:32 · SH · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Vincent Trocheck · 2nd 18:19 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 05:03 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Will Cuylle · 3rd 17:49 · EN · 3–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:45
Yanni Gourde· Cross-checking
Cuylle scored on this power play
Minor
1
Adam Fox, Artemi Panarin · Power play (Gourde, cross-checking) · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:45
Yanni Gourde· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:20
Igor Shesterkin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
8
Artemi Panarin, Vladislav Gavrikov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–5
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:03
Vladislav Gavrikov· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:03
Scott Sabourin· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:03
Vladislav Gavrikov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
08:06
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:22
Adam Fox· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
8/13 saves · 5 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/7 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Lightning went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Rangers power plays.