TBL
5–1
NJD
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 10-7-2
5–1
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 13-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
27110212529
NJD
01411305132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TBL 10-7-2 · NJD 13-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Lightning beat the Devils
The Lightning earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.9, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 32 shots on goal.
TBL 3.7 xG · 29 shots
NJD 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
1.8 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 11:40 · 1–0 · slap shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:38 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:38 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 17:47 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Darren Raddysh · 3rd 04:49 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 07:48 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 62.
TBL 62%NJD 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 9 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 11:40 · 1–0
Slap shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
2
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 19:38 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 10:38 · PP · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 17:47 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Darren Raddysh · 3rd 04:49 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 07:48 · PP · 5–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:34
Brayden Point· Holding
Brayden Point· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:15
Darren Raddysh· Tripping
Darren Raddysh· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:43
Stefan Noesen· Roughing
Stefan Noesen· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:18
Luke Hughes· Hooking
Luke Hughes· Hooking
Guentzel scored on this power play
Minor
3
Darren Raddysh, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Power play (Hughes, hooking) · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3–0
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:48
Arseny Gritsyuk· Holding
Arseny Gritsyuk· Holding
Guentzel scored on this power play
Minor
6
Nikita Kucherov, Darren Raddysh · Power play (Gritsyuk, holding) · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:09
Nikita Kucherov· High-sticking
Nikita Kucherov· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
15:04
Bench· Delaying game bench face off violation
Bench· Delaying game bench face off violation
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:16
Simon Nemec· Interference
Simon Nemec· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:16
Curtis Douglas· Roughing
Curtis Douglas· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Lightning went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Devils power plays.