TBL 2–1 EDM Final / OT · W
Lightning/Schedule/Recap Thu, Nov 20, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 11-7-2
2–1
Final / OTW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 9-9-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT TBL 0801111412235 EDM 111070403125 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 11-7-2 · EDM 9-9-5 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0

Lightning beat the Oilers

Chances were even (2.9 to 2.5 expected goals); the Lightning won it in overtime on Guentzel's goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 35 and 25 shots on goal.

TBL 2.9 xG · 35 shots EDM 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 0.4 · 1.0
2nd 1.0 · 0.8
3rd 1.2 · 0.4
OT 0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 56.
TBL 56%EDM 44%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 8 penalties
← Lightning shoot this way Oilers shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Leon Draisaitl · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
0–1
PEN
02:13 Jake Guentzel· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:01 Curtis Douglas· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
13:01 Darnell Nurse· Instigator
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:01 Darnell Nurse· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
13:01 Darnell Nurse· Instigator
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
20:00 Alec Regula· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
09:28 Brett Kulak· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
15:36 J.J. Moser· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
2
17:28 Nick Paul
J.J. Moser, Emil Lilleberg · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
1–1
Overtime
3
01:43 Jake Guentzel GWG
Darren Raddysh, Nikita Kucherov · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2–1
Goaltending
+1.5
vs expected
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.9
vs expected
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team TBLEDM
Shots on goal
35
25
Expected goals
2.9
2.5
Hits
29
17
Blocks
11
21
Faceoffs
43%
57%
Power play
0/2
0/2
Penalty minutes
9
21
The Lightning went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Oilers power plays.