TBL 5–1 CGY Final · W
Lightning/Schedule/Recap Wed, Nov 26, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 14-7-2
5–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 8-14-3
1ST2ND3RDT TBL 4100914523 CGY 0509118132 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 14-7-2 · CGY 8-14-3 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0

Lightning beat the Flames

The Lightning were outchanced (3.5 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Dustin Wolf allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.

Who had the better chances

The Flames created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.

TBL 2.9 xG · 23 shots CGY 3.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 0.7 · 0.8
2nd 1.5 · 1.0
3rd · the swing 0.7 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 41.
TBL 41%CGY 59%

Goals and penalties

6 goals · 8 penalties
← Lightning shoot this way Flames shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
00:39 Brandon Hagel
Anthony Cirelli, Nikita Kucherov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2
01:26 Charle-Edouard D'Astous GWG
Nick Paul, Jake Guentzel · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–0
3
05:52 Zemgus Girgensons
Yanni Gourde, Pontus Holmberg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–0
4
10:01 Declan Carlile
, Jake Guentzel · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–0
PEN
12:05 Emil Lilleberg· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:44 J.J. Moser· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:56 Emil Lilleberg· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
00:30 Rasmus Andersson· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
01:19 Nikita Kucherov· High-sticking
Killed
4 min
Double minor
PEN
09:02 Brayden Pachal· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:25 Blake Coleman· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
19:25 Jonathan Huberdeau· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
5
01:04 Joel Farabee SH
John Beecher, Yan Kuznetsov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–1
6
14:23 Nikita Kucherov
Brandon Hagel, Darren Raddysh · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5–1
Goaltending
+2.5
vs expected
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.8
vs expected
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team TBLCGY
Shots on goal
23
32
Expected goals
2.9
3.5
Hits
13
25
Blocks
19
17
Faceoffs
55%
45%
Power play
0/4
0/4
Penalty minutes
10
8
The Lightning went 0-for-4 on the power play and killed all 4 Flames power plays.