Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 16-9-2
3–4
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 14-7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
01519216340
PIT
18211112431
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
TBL 16-9-2 · PIT 14-7-5 · First meeting this season — the Lightning trail the season series 0–1
Lightning fell to the Penguins
The Lightning created the better chances (4.5 to 3.2 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Malkin's winner came with 2:43 left. Tristan Jarry stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.2, on 40 and 31 shots on goal.
TBL 4.5 xG · 40 shots
PIT 3.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.5
3rd
1.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ville Koivunen · 1st 06:12 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 07:53 · 0–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
3
Ben Kindel · 2nd 09:49 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 18:46 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 01:17 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 11:44 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 17:17 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 68.
TBL 68%PIT 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 12 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ville Koivunen · 1st 06:12 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 07:53 · 0–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
3
Ben Kindel · 2nd 09:49 · PP · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 18:46 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 01:17 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 11:44 · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
Evgeni Malkin · 3rd 17:17 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
02:36
Curtis Douglas· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
02:36
Bokondji Imama· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:59
Max Crozier· Holding
Koivunen scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:14
Parker Wotherspoon· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:58
Ryan Graves· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:36
Sidney Crosby· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:13
Darren Raddysh· Tripping
Kindel scored on this power play
Minor
3
Erik Karlsson, Evgeni Malkin · Power play (Raddysh, tripping) · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
0–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:16
Declan Carlile· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:02
Erik Karlsson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:02
Kris Letang· Tripping
Hagel scored on this power play
Minor
5
Nikita Kucherov, Darren Raddysh · Power play (Letang, tripping) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:18
Evgeni Malkin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:00
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Lightning went 1-for-6 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Penguins power plays.