TBL
6–4
CAR
Final · W
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 19-13-3
6–4
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 22-10-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL
0631439629
CAR
3100616422
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
TBL 19-13-3 · CAR 22-10-3 · First meeting this season — the Lightning lead the season series 1–0
Lightning beat the Hurricanes
Down 0–3 in the 1st period, the Lightning erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — McDonagh's equalizer — and won 6–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
TBL 3.7 xG · 29 shots
CAR 1.9 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 02:42 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 04:00 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Bradly Nadeau · 1st 12:27 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 00:30 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 01:20 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jack Finley · 2nd 16:36 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 02:47 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 03:13 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:38 · 5–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
10
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:33 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Lightning win 78.
TBL 78%CAR 22%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 11 penalties← Lightning shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 02:42 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 04:00 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Bradly Nadeau · 1st 12:27 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 2nd 00:30 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Brayden Point · 2nd 01:20 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jack Finley · 2nd 16:36 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 02:47 · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Ryan McDonagh · 3rd 03:13 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:38 · GWG · 5–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
10
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:33 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:27
Declan Carlile· Holding
Declan Carlile· Holding
Blake scored on this power play
Minor
2
Nikolaj Ehlers, Shayne Gostisbehere · Power play (Carlile, holding) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:00
Andrei Svechnikov· Interference
Andrei Svechnikov· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
10:35
Jack Finley· High-sticking
Jack Finley· High-sticking
Nadeau scored on this power play
Double minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:36
Zemgus Girgensons· High-sticking
Zemgus Girgensons· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:07
Nick Paul· Roughing
Nick Paul· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:07
Mark Jankowski· Roughing
Mark Jankowski· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:07
Jesperi Kotkaniemi· Roughing
Jesperi Kotkaniemi· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:07
Declan Carlile· Roughing
Declan Carlile· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:07
Jesperi Kotkaniemi· Roughing
Jesperi Kotkaniemi· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:07
Darren Raddysh· Roughing
Darren Raddysh· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:32
Andrei Svechnikov· Tripping
Andrei Svechnikov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Lightning went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Hurricanes power plays.